Aspects of the ‘New Normal’
The new normal, more Old Labour, what is a ‘handle’, will property ever revive, how durable is the renewables bounce? When do numbers matter to us ? Same old It looks like the new normal is no Middle East peace, […]
UK
Madness Takes Control
Burnham’s rise, market implications, new Federal Reserve, interest rate expectations. And inter galactic speculation, up like a rocket… New Governor, Old Rates In US Fed Governor Warsh we get a real economist, even if inevitably with an Ivy League law […]
Elegies
The divide between the fortunate aggressor, and the so-called middle powers, or spectators, between those with strategic foresight and the price takers, is stark. The year’s early exuberance in Europe and the UK has gone, reverting to the old confused, […]
HAMMER AND CYCLE
A look at the re-industrialisation idea, how it affects markets fleeing Tech, and Pershing Square Holdings. Back on shore Re-industrialisation is now pretty embedded in UK party policies, of all colours. It is implicit both in the Biden subsidy schemes, […]
Round-up
The turn of the rate cycle, the waning of the West, stochastic staffing. Plus, the strategic benefits of Slav-on-Slav violence, the end of Zip Car, of the Bill Gates Climate Office, and new life for Round Up. The trend stayed […]
Dance of the Seven Veils
This time we cover Reeves leading us a merry dance, AI losers and tactical voting. By last weekend I realised the long budget run up was a dance of deceit and seduction, offered not to the voter nor the media, […]
Exterminators needed
A pretty good year, lots of all time highs, the FTSE creeping towards 10,000, rates falling, no recession, a Federal Reserve that can’t believe its luck, peace of a kind in the Middle East. So inevitably thoughts turn to banking […]
Potemkin Politics
How have British politicians fared this year, and what does the future look like, behind all the brave facades? Do the regional elections next year matter? What does the betting market tell us? Is Reeves’s mess redeemable? The Tory Party […]
Drifting Apart
We look at signs of the end of the post WWII settlement, at the harassing of the Federal Reserve and what Trump winning looks like (not great). Rift or just a crack ? There are two world views, either Trump […]
What a mess !
It has been an oddly busy summer: Trump, a nervous Fed, India, a destabilised UK government and a hopeless French one. Trump is becoming a parody of himself, although there are, at last, signs of the much-vaunted checks and balances. […]